It's more than a year before the GOP Convention that will ultimately select the Republican nominee for...
It's more than a year before the GOP Convention that will ultimately select the Republican nominee for President. According to what most people reading this poll might think, more people want Trump to win that nomination than anyone else.
But is that true? There's another prize that is coming up much sooner than the nomination: participation in the debates. The top 10 candidates will be in the first big debate, on Fox News. The nomination is only indirectly related to the poll results.
So the polls do not tell me that Trump is the favorite to win the nomination, only that he is a favorite to participate in the debate. If I didn't have a favorite candidate, I'd pick Trump, just because I want to see him in the debate.
But is that true? There's another prize that is coming up much sooner than the nomination: participation in the debates. The top 10 candidates will be in the first big debate, on Fox News. The nomination is only indirectly related to the poll results.
So the polls do not tell me that Trump is the favorite to win the nomination, only that he is a favorite to participate in the debate. If I didn't have a favorite candidate, I'd pick Trump, just because I want to see him in the debate.
"It is the common fate of the indolent to see their rights become a prey to the active. The condition upon which God hath given liberty to man is eternal vigilance; which condition if he break, servitude is at once the consequence of his crime and the punishment of his guilt."
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